Foothill Farming
University of California
Foothill Farming

Production Risk

What Is Production Risk?

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Anything that directly affects the quantity and quality of your production or  causes variation in expected yield. If you've been farming for even a little while, you are probably well-versed with production risk.

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Some Sources of Production Risk

  • Weather and wildfire
  • Pests and disease
  • Production management - planting, harvesting, food safety
  • Infrastructure (on-farm and off-farm) malfunction

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Some Questions to Ask to Assess Your Production Risk

General:

  • Which of the listed risks affects me by keeping me from getting to my goals?
  • Which can I manage on my own?
  • Which do I need help managing?
  • Which can I avoid?

Production Management:

  • How much benefit might I get from using protected cultivation?
  • Would changing my pest management practices reduce crop losses?
  • How can I minimize food safety issues in my production, harvest and post-harvest handling practices?
  • How can I bring down production costs?

Diversification:

  • Will a new enterprise offer effective diversification?
  • What knowledge and management skills do I need for an extra enterprise?
  • Which extra capital investments and labor would I need to diversify?
  • Do I have a serious commitment to a new enterprise?

Crop Insurance:

  • What are my major sources of production risk?
  • What type of insurance coverage do I need for protection?
  • What coverage is available to me?
  • How much coverage do I need for adequate cash flow?

New Technology Adoption:

  • Does adopting a new technology reduce my risk?
  • What is the economic benefit of adopting new technology?

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Source: USDA Risk Management Agency. "Introduction to Risk Management: Understanding Agricultural Risks." Revised December 1997


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This information made available due to a grant from the USDA Risk Management Agency.

Tools for Mitigating and Planning for Production Risk

  • Diversify crops or enterprise
  • Change production methods
  • Use lease arrangements with crop or livestock shares
  • Invest in new technologies
  • Maintain farm infrastructure and equipment
  • Use protected cultivation
  • Stay informed
  • Site selection
  • Get crop insurance
  • Develop a contingency plan

Remember: It's important to choose the tools that are best for you, your level of risk tolerance, and your operation.

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Resources

General:
Risk Management Checklist - USDA Risk Management Agency

Crop Insurance Information:
(Note: More information on appropriate crop insurance policies for Placer and Nevada counties coming soon)

Production and Pest Management:

Diversification:

Food Safety Information:

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Additional Production Risk Management Resources

Webmaster Email: cefake@ucanr.edu